• TS Rafael Less Organized

    From Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to All on Sunday, November 10, 2024 09:54:00
    825
    WTNT33 KNHC 101433
    TCPAT3

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Rafael Advisory Number 29
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182024
    900 AM CST Sun Nov 10 2024

    ...RAFAEL BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED...


    SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...26.3N 91.9W
    ABOUT 370 MI...600 KM NNW OF PROGRESO MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 900 AM CST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rafael was
    located near latitude 26.3 North, longitude 91.9 West. Rafael is
    moving toward the north-northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). The storm
    is expected to meander over the central Gulf of Mexico through
    tonight, then turn toward the south and south-southwest on Monday
    and Tuesday.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Weakening is expected, and Rafael is forecast to degenerate to a
    post-tropical remnant low by Monday.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km)
    from the center. A few hours ago, NOAA buoy 42001 over the central
    Gulf of Mexico recorded a sustained wind of 38 mph (61 km/h) with a
    gust of 45 mph (72 km/h).

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Rafael can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC
    and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

    SURF: Swells generated by Rafael will continue impacting portions of
    the northern and western Gulf Coast through the remainder of this
    weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
    rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
    weather office.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen


    $$
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)